Crime WAS Down

Remember a week or two ago how we warned Conehead and others about hanging their hats on the so-called crime reduction? How bragging about a drop could come back and bite them in the ass? 

These things are cyclical and are connected to too many other factors to predict any sort of short-term trends:

• economic factors;
• ethnic entanglements;
• foreign drug wars affecting supply and demand - even border enforcement;
• local gang battles over territory, rap music, disrespect;
• changes in local / state laws letting criminals out....if they ever went in at all.

And in spite of what McCompstat told everyone, the weather affects crime. 

Look at what happened in the middle of this week:

• in 40 hours, 51 people got shot, 9 of those died.

If you want to brag about crime reductions, do it on 01 January about the previous year.