Rahm Leads by 10
- Mayor Rahm Emanuel's latest moves in his re-election campaign appear to have steered voters in his favor.
The latest poll numbers show Emanuel with a comfortable lead over challenger Jesus "Chuy" Garcia, but the mayor remains shy of the majority of votes with just a few weeks to go until the runoff election April 7.
Ogden and Fry released a poll Saturday that showed Emanuel with 47.1 percent of the vote and Garcia with 36.7 percent. The poll takes into account undecided voters as well, who came in at a high 16.2 percent.
These undecided voters are key to winning the election, the poll makers noted. The conventional wisdom is that undecided voters usually do not break for a well-known incumbent, meaning Emanuel could still be in trouble, despite his lead.
We think it was Kass who pointed out an interesting fact the other day. In the just-past election, Rahm polled at something like 45% with a lot of "undecided" folks refusing to commit to a candidate. Rahm's total for the election? 45.4%. That means that he certainly didn't inspire a lot of fence-sitters to commit to him. It also means that turnout is going to be the key, and a rainy-bad-weather-type day could significantly affect portions of the electorate. Rahm hasn't gone full negative yet, but you can see his media lapdogs already attempting to suppress voter turnout by touting the polls (Rahm leads!) and poking at Garcia for not having a concrete plan (but failing to point out Rahm's own lack of a plan).
Rahm has an edge in polling, but not an insurmountable one.
Rahm has an edge in polling, but not an insurmountable one.
Labels: elections
posted by SCC at 12:01 AM
57 Comments:
Please, please, please don't vote for rahm. He is systematically destroying your pensions. He knows exactly what is happening while he acts like he doesn't. He is a communist along with Rauner and Obama.
So help me God if I see that Rahm commercial once more (the slamming Chuy one) I will scream. Fucking scream. At this point, it just backfires.
--No Cop Here
City workers always say they are undecided.
They fear RAHM hunting them down.
Even the mighty police do not speak their mind for fear of being dumped.
Just get everyone in your house to vote even your kid in their 20s who can't find a job.
explain how your pension work and that mom and dad may lose big time.
Vote Early! Vote Often!
Alphonse Capone
Here's one of the people endorsing Rahm:
http://www.bettergov.org/was_emanuel_aide_entitled_to_property_perk/
Not voting for a Hope and a Promise.
Not voting for building a 'Commission'(that's more bucks plus 'who are they?').
Not voting for a study either cause that costs lots of money, too.
And don't want to be holden to Jesse Jackson, Father Pflager, or even Clem Balinoff (read his life on the iternet).
Man, oh, man.
Trust me, you do not want Chewie to be your next mayor. If Chewie is the mayor Chicago will never lure the Obamas' away from moving to NYC.
Rahm still has the benefit of the corporate press , for now .
The best mayor Chicago has had in the past 100 years may not get re elected! No wonder our historic black First Family may not want to return to their ancestral home in 2017. What a shameful thing for Chicago.
Been called SEVERAL times by various pollsters.
I gave them the answer that they were looking for, that I was voting for Rham.
Come 7 April, Chuys got my vote!
Diapers and Politians have the same thing in common.
They need to be changed often and for the same reason.
I'll eat my own vomit before I vote for Rahm. My wife is strong anit-Rahm too. That is 2 solid GFY and we do vote, always, every time. Asshole Rahm precinct worker came knocking on my door Sunday. I suggest politely that he take his Rahm Emanuel shit with him as he left. I live a few blocks from Rahm in 47.
Rahm's carpet bombing the airwaves with anti Chuy ads saying Chuy has no financial plan.
RAHM doesn't have much of a plan either other than counting on Springfield to enable him to fuck our pensions.
Rahm has known about this $550 million balloon payment to police and fire pension funds since before he even took office. What has Rahm done to plan for it.... why nothing of course. Just like he's done about the city's regular required pension obligations... zip, zero, zilch!
Fuck you Rahm. We've worked too hard for too long for our pensions that we're entitled to.
This may be the only chance we ever have of unseating the political machine that has strangled the is city, this state, for decades. Talk to your family and neighbors. Remember that ridiculous wedding dress story and the corruption that allowed him in.
Get out the vote, get Rahm off of the throne in City Hall.
I call bullshit. Rahm is terrified.
The River Wards will far surpass that undecided. Maybe Chewey should come up with ghost Hispanic voters. He could call them Chewey's Revenge.
It would be great if the Sanctuary City handed Rahm his ass with the Hispanic vote. Irony. Fucking irony.
Wake up folks. Rahm said unequivocally he is cutting your pension. Chuy said he's going to use TiF tax dollars. Easy decision for me and my family.
Those. Polls are full of SHIT! They are made up by rahm supporters. I asked over a thousand regular folks on the street, not one said they'll be voting for rahm. And 257 said anyone but rahm. So there you have it! A real poll folks.
The poll is produced by the same newspapers that support him, they should report triple digit lead just to declare him a winner like in ultra communist countries
Anyone else notice the suntimes online has not been giving the weekend tally of persons shot/killed lately? I find it hard to believe that after the warmer weekend and in particular Monday there was not a surge worth reporting. Wonder if they will catch people up after the election?
It was stated that in psychology people do not want to be considered loser status, i.e. supporting a loser etc.
Thus,sometimes subconsciously they tend to lean in support toward more a positive status such as winners.
As such, if Rham can portray through his friends in the media that he is ahead or the likely winner etc., he could pick up some of those undecided votes merely for that reason. Granted it's a small percentage, but every little bit counts and either candidate needs a quantity of these available 'small percentages' to turn the tide.
Political Strategy 101.
Here's an interesting article on a bail out, Rham appears to be hiding. (Copy/Paste)
http://www.salon.com/2015/03/17/not_true_and_they_knew_it%E2%80%9D_what_rahm_emanuels_wall_street_craze_cost_chicago/
Have to grit my teeth to read most of the online crap they publish, but Salon online has been hammering Rahm with some pretty good reporting - here's a link to the latest where they lay out what interest swap deals have done to the City's budget and why Frodo won't budge on them.
http://www.salon.com/2015/03/17/not_true_and_they_knew_it%e2%80%9d_what_rahm_emanuels_wall_street_craze_cost_chicago/
I'll vote for Garcia. If for no other reason, it seems to me that Emanuel is more "machine" that Garcia. Olease educate me if I'm not seeing this correctly.
Rahm up by 10 points?
Bullshit
&
Donkey Dung...
Early voting centers are being set up in cemetery's across the city for the election.
They do that to help rahm. If they say he has it in the bag, lots of people won't bother to vote. This is pure propaganda from his supporters in the propaganda wing of the machine.
Get out and vote this clown out!
it is a sad state of affairs that, in a race for mayor of one of the largest cities in America, the two candidates are....Rahm and Chuy (?)...a reflection on the pitiful state of politics in America, the lack of quality candidates who are willing to run for office....
Illegal voters have come home to roost and will put Garcia in the lead . First Hispanic a Mayor , if he doesn't deliver , he won't be reelected like rahm . Maybe time for a strong black candidate . Did Chuck ramsey leave his police uniform in someone's basement ?
Some of the best pollsters predicted Rahm a 54% winner if +less than 500,000 came out and voted. They were wrong. And they'll be wrong again.
He's not sleeping well.
Matt Hynes should be run out of town after this election. Worst run election in Chicago history. Who picked the colors for his lawn sign? Can't even read them. Rookie mistake!
Blacks uninterested, good portion oh hispanics can't vote and hardcore dems show up for Rahm. Rahm wins by 5 to 8. percentage points. hopefully new alderman elected and the rubber stamp gets broken. Good news is we don't get the Obama library and we'll never see them again!
Obamas not staying in Chicago no matter what the results are already have a huge mansion being built in California when he leaves office
Anonymous said...
Those. Polls are full of SHIT! They are made up by rahm supporters. I asked over a thousand regular folks on the street, not one said they'll be voting for rahm. And 257 said anyone but rahm. So there you have it! A real poll folks.
3/17/2015 06:38:00 AM
The blog is getting to be a joke. You have nothing better to do than ask 1,000 voters and not one said they will be voting for Rahm. Where did you go, Chuys campaign headquarters. You sound like and idiot. After you poll Rahm should just give up.
Anonymous said...
Wake up folks. Rahm said unequivocally he is cutting your pension. Chuy said he's going to use TiF tax dollars. Easy decision for me and my family.
3/17/2015 06:16:00 AM
Chuy never said that All he said was he was forming a comittee who would report back in 90 days. There would be no pension problem if all the mayor had to do was use TIF funds. Problem is TIF funds are only from certain taxing areas and you cant have only certain areas funding the pensions.
Demo-C0mmunist ploy...
Convince the opposition that you have already won ad they will not bother voting. Worked for Obama.
For the love of all that is holy and our pensions VOTE Rahm out.
Well, we had 20 years of Daley the son who refused to debate anyone and just told everyone to kiss his ass. Meanwhile, he sold the cities assets, lied and cheated to get friends contracts ( think Hired Truck), rigged city hiring and police promotions and I don't recall as much bad things said about him as I read now about Rahm. Rahm will probably win, but it could be close. He will not run again after this 2nd term. He wants to leave the city with a good financial structure. And, it will hurt all concerned. If you listened to the debates, people are finally admitting on how bad our pension system really is. It is slidding on its way to insolvency. You really thing Garcia can or will do anything different and " save" our pension? Rahm does not want to make that pension payment next year and I think that he will find a way out of it. Within the next two years the pension crisis and it is a crisis will come to a head. I hope it survives.
Dean the President of the FOP had very little to say at FOP hall today.
2 different informal polls done by the FOP and CHUY won both.
Expect Dean to go with no endorsement. He values what the membership wants if it fits his agenda.
Dean knows he would be a 1 term president if he endorses RAHM.
And his sons future in the FOP would be squashed ASAP.
And the PPO Kilmer seems to want Rahm but has trouble dealing with senior officers who are Anti RAHM.
The lodge has dropped the ball a few times now???
The FOP app gone
Calendar book screw up
ballots sent out late
5th watch violations of contract
no notes taken during interviews with mayoral candidates???
People making over 100 k should be held accountable demand a professional FOP board.
Ask questions give them a call and ask why?
I think what everyone fails to realize is that Garcia has been an elected official for over 25 years in Chicago. So he is very much involved in the Democratic machine. So don't use think he's some newcomer independent.
Funny thing how entitlements work in this city. You work your entire life with the promise of being paid the deferred portion of your salary when you retire. Now granted that you have contributed 9% from every paycheck and the city has contributed 18% on your behalf as part of your deferred benefit to ensure you are paid this benefit. Now comes along the democratic voting deadbeat who never worked a day in their life unless you consider selling dope on the corner or knocking out 5 kids with five different baby’s daddies. They call our pensions entitlements and we call getting everything for free while never working a day in their lives entitlements. Only difference in these is the people who actually worked for and contributed to their pensions are now being threatened with reductions or the complete loss of their pension so those who never worked will not have their entitlements diminished. We thought redistribution of wealth only affected people making 7 figures. Think again it's you and me, the common working men and women who make less than $100K a year. How fu**ed up is this government?? It's time to stop the gravy train. Everyone needs to get a job. And all benefits, section 8 link, ssi disability are good only for a total of 5 years out of your entire life and these benefits should not be available until you reach 30 years of age and have worked for at least 5 years. No more pay to play. I'm not paying anymore for you to play while I work.
Where is an Independent or Republican candidate to run for Mayor . Democrats have stolen or sold every asset .
Parking meter company is making money .
Rahm will not let this CRISiS go to waste , he wants to take benefits away from the union workers .
Redistribution of wealth .
Rham will win in a cake walk Chewy is a complete idiot.
"Rahm leads by 10"
Didn't these decayed-ass m/fers in MSM pull this same "insurmountable lead" ploy when Mistuh Nobody aka Sparkle-Farts was slid into the Presidency?
WHOOO!
When the Great Correction occurs, it is our hope and prayer that these collusive, treasonous fucks are all standing on a scaffold with shit cascading down their legs and their knees knocking like castanets...
Viva Hate...
Just like they want to see Policemen and their families loaded on modern freight trains to nowhere...
Vote Anthony V Napolitano in the 41st Ward. Anthony was a working copper in 015, the real POLICE. Who understands the bullshit coppers put up with and the issues we face, more then a cop. Anthony was there, he also has firsthand background as a CFD firefighter for 10 years. He will fight for the pensions and the insurance. He will not be a 98% rubber stamp, like the current part time Alderman Oconnor. It's time for her to go, she hasn't done anything for the ward in four years. Airplane noise is out of control, over 100 coppers less in 16 and her office treats taxpayers like shit. Send her and Rahm a message on April 7. Early voting starts Monday at Rodden library...
I'm Voting Mr Garcia, he answered the questions I wanted answered. Rham go back to Washington DC.
Was leaning to vote for Rahm and then I listened to a Republican radio host yesterday AM and he enumerated about a dozen reasons why we should vote for Chuy. They all made sense......he changed my mind....vote for Chuy.
That must be the 10 % at that cook county cemetery whom voted while they been 10 feet resting under ground for the past 20 years...Im glad the dead still have a magical voice in politics!!!
Who would Jesus vote for? Vote for the Catholic.
Might as well vote for the late Karl Mark, Chewie and Lewis follow his writings.
Rahm will win in a landslid. 65 % for a mayor with a brain. Or maybe you clowns rather have the Patrick Daley there to continue cleaning city hall out !!
Anonymous Anonymous said...
Anonymous said...
Wake up folks. Rahm said unequivocally he is cutting your pension. Chuy said he's going to use TiF tax dollars. Easy decision for me and my family.
3/17/2015 06:16:00 AM
Chuy never said that All he said was he was forming a comittee who would report back in 90 days. There would be no pension problem if all the mayor had to do was use TIF funds. Problem is TIF funds are only from certain taxing areas and you cant have only certain areas funding the pensions.
3/17/2015 02:55:00 PM
You need to look at a TIF map, sir. TIFs cover the entire city these days and aren't limited to a few little sections of the city.
And if your sensibilities are offended by the distribution of that money, how about pouring the TIF money into the neighborhoods and taking the 'regular' tax money and use that STRICTLY to fund the pensions? (It's pretty much the same as putting the apples on the right side of the table and moving them to the left side, but if it makes you happier, that's the way it can easily be done.)
Or, the City Council could just change the law and allow a one-time diversion of the TIFs to the pension fund, for the financial viability of the City.
Anonymous Anonymous said...
Obamas not staying in Chicago no matter what the results are already have a huge mansion being built in California when he leaves office
3/17/2015 02:38:00 PM
Who cares? Were you counting on him staying here? Was it critical to your well-being? Are your feelings hurt? Who the hell cares where he lives!
Anyone but Rham and if that doesn't work then vote the next guy out in four years…why reward and reelect incompetence. Go back to D.C sir...
Anonymous said...
Rham will win in a cake walk Chewy is a complete idiot.
3/17/2015 05:13:00 PM
Daley was a complete idiot and they kept him in for twenty years. What's your point? Rahm needs to go.
Anonymous Anonymous said...
Dean the President of the FOP had very little to say at FOP hall today.
2 different informal polls done by the FOP and CHUY won both.
+++++++++++++
Bullshit
Hey Fernando a show of hands yesterday at the meeting had no endorsement winning!
Anonymous said...
Trust me, you do not want Chewie to be your next mayor. If Chewie is the mayor Chicago will never lure the Obamas' away from moving to NYC.
3/17/2015 01:00:00 AM
And you actually WANT them here?
Anonymous said...
Rham will win in a cake walk Chewy is a complete idiot.
3/17/2015 05:13:00 PM
Bullshit. It'll be close. Chuy will win.
About those #^><!# phone calls...
I don't answer any call from any number I don't know...
If I get a call from an unfamiliar number I GOOGLE it and add "800notes". That brings up a website where people leave comments on who calls them. A few turn out to be legit but most are scams and they tell you. Then I file the number under DNA (Do Not Answer). Then if they call back I ignore them or answer "15th District Lock-up Officer Turner" or some non-sense. That usually ends the calls.
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