Tuesday, April 30, 2024

Crime is NOT Down

Hey, if it's in the Wall Street Journal, it's got to be more accurate that the New York Times:

  • Americans think crime is on the rise, but the media keep telling them they’re wrong. A Gallup survey last year found that 92% of Republicans and 58% of Democrats thought crime was increasing. A February Rasmussen Reports survey found that 61% of likely voters say violent crime in the U.S. is getting worse, while only 13% think it’s getting better. Journalists purport to refute this by citing official crime statistics showing a downward trend.

    Americans aren’t mistaken. News reports fail to take into account that many victims aren’t reporting crimes to the police, especially since the pandemic.

This is an opinion piece, but the author is John R. Lott Jr., the well-known expert on Gun Rights and probably best known for applying actual scientific analysis to crime statistics - something the media and anti-gun people refuse to acknowledge:

  • The U.S. has two measures of crime. The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Uniform Crime Reporting program counts the number of crimes reported to police every year. The Bureau of Justice Statistics, in its National Crime Victimization Survey, asks some 240,000 people a year whether they have been victims of a crime. The two measures have diverged since 2020: The FBI has been reporting less crime, while more people say they have been victims.

    The divergence is due to several reasons. In 2022, 31% of police departments nationwide, including Los Angeles and New York, didn’t report crime data to the FBI. In addition, in cities from Baltimore to Nashville, Tenn., the FBI is undercounting crimes those jurisdictions reported.

31% of jurisdictions DIDN'T EVEN REPORT CRIME DATA to the FBI? Including New York and Los Angeles? 

Gee, you think that had an effect on the crime statistics? 

And you think that doesn't prove (again) that the FBI is not to be trusted in anything? They should just change their name to the "Ministerium für Staatssicherheit" now and save the printing costs.

Go read it all.

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22 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is so true. Thank you for posting so people know. The Biden Administration, once dickhead was elected, allowed local government units to optionally report crime. So now 35% don’t report at all and crime numbers appear to be going down. A lot of people also don’t report it b/c it’s useless as less and less crimes are solved so why bother. And yes the FBI is lowering the crime numbers that are reported. Would be nice to hear their argument for lowering them.

4/30/2024 12:21:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Seriously, what the fuck does this delusionary assessment of crime really mean?

Crime is up, crime is down, crime is popping all around?

To the victim, crime is.

To the not yet victim, crime is waiting.

To the criminals, crime is their purpose.

Fucking statistics mean nothing.

Paying attention wherever you are has a chance.

4/30/2024 12:50:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

MSM and FBI coverup. Defund THE FBI. MSM already being refunded. Lol

4/30/2024 04:09:00 AM  
Blogger The Keesing Bandit said...

Tell the mindless Kamala voters that.

Now, kees me you fool!!!!

4/30/2024 04:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And we have campus terrorists:
https://www.foxnews.com/us/antisemitic-riot-columbia-agitators-take-over-academic-building-barricade-doors

Best part: During the unrest, New York Police Department officers arrived at the campus but did not enter it, according to the Columbia Spectator. The officers remained at the scene, outside of campus, telling the publication they would only enter if they "hear that someone’s gotten hurt."

*F The police? Hmm nope FU anti-police pos! You don’t want police now “youse” can’t leave! Come on dnc democrats bastardize police ok police follow rules you idiots put in place to pander to the criminals, nowadays you get what you asked for! Extra popcorn ready the show is going to be epic!

4/30/2024 05:20:00 AM  
Blogger Snaggletooth said...

I don't think this will display correctly but I'll give it a try.


Chicago Crime

Chicago Crime
YEAR Murder Theft Robbery Aggravated Battery
1968 645 19007 *
1969 727 21462
1975 818 117909 22171
1980 863 102873 16261
1994 930 121196 33949 Daley years
1995 827 121487 30086 Daley years
2000 631 106245 19341 Daley years
2001 666 97939 18450 Daley years
2009 460 79212 15918 Daley years
2010 437 75608 14265 Daley years
2016 769 61450 11959 9208
2017 653 64018 11879 8959
2018 576 64903 9684 8783
2019 492 62490 8000 9478
2020 772 41201 7864 9466
2021 804 40792 7923 8362
2022 699 54677 8973 7499
2023 671 11025

*Many years data combine aggravated assault and aggravated battery

https://home.chicagopolice.org/statistics-data/statistical-reports/annual-reports/
Daley years.
Summer of love onward.


Theft , Robb, Agg Batt Yes, these are down from the Daley years.

Daley 1989-201, from the data we have the Murder Average was 658 per year. Let’s take Chicago’s average murder rate from the summer of love in 2020 onward. That would be 736.

So, murders are up 11.8% from the Daley era.

4/30/2024 07:50:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

More like, Schutzstaffel. As the fbi seems more of a party organization now than a national non-partisan investigative law enforcement organization.

4/30/2024 08:01:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

To quote Biden Administration: "if we say it's true, it's true. If we say it's false, it's false, even if you have factual evidence to prove it's true. We control truth."

Biden says "crime is down". If crime isn't reported, it doesn't exist in official terms. If crime isn't reported to FBI by major cities, then that crime simply vanishes and remains unacknowledged.

A lot of people aren't reporting thefts, robberies, muggings, burglaries, property vandalism, verbal assaults, and physical attacks by strangers they encounter in public spaces. They know cops are unlikely to arrive in timely manner, that getting a filed crime report is a challenge, and that any effort to make a report requires more personal effort than outcome will gain.

4/30/2024 08:59:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Of course the criminal media is going to massage the numbers for Brandon, they work for the left, there is no unbiased media. The gaslighting will only intensify leading up to the election steal. Another good one is the polls showing the race closer than it really is, some polls have Fuckface at 43% and Trump 49% when in reality its probably closer to Trump at over 60% or more. They need to keep the poll numbers close enough so when they steal it again in November they have plausible deniability, they will say the other 8% of undecided voters swung towards Pedo Joe.

4/30/2024 09:22:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

True story. Walking down Dearborn this morning I see a dude with a full beard, back hair, leg hair, earrings and a dress on its way to work I guess. Now that was a crime, imaging having to work with it

4/30/2024 09:44:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Add to the 35% of departments that don't report add Chicago. Have long heard the FEEBS don't count Chicago numbers because they are so cooked

Plus many robbery, rape, assault and theft victims don't bother reporting, feeling that there is no point. And they know that the court will treat the offender better.

4/30/2024 10:06:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you're a crime victim, why report it? You know good and well the likes of Kim Foxx will no-bail the offender, and then that offender has a real beef with you. You make yourself more of a target.

As for the DNC convention, I would really like to see *someone* pay BLM and Antifa thugs to show up en masse. It would be a real conundrum - stand down for the Democrat brownshirts this time, or play hardball to protect conventioneers and allow them to pretend that crime really is down and the Biden DOJ has its act together.

4/30/2024 10:18:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Crime is not down. It is up. Period...

And the reason it is so, is directly attributable to the horde of "Libtard" politicians who for some reason sympathize with the offenders when Law Enforcement makes an arrest. The victim is completely forgotten about while the suspect gets out on a no cash bail, and charges are dropped by a toothless judicial system. For some reason, we can't stop crime by holding people in jail while they await a trial anymore.

All the wrong people are in charge everywhere. We learned this during the plan-demic.

The system we have is broken, and the criminals are emboldened by the slack policies of politicians, Judges, and the administrators of police departments everywhere.

And it is only going to continue to get worse...

4/30/2024 10:34:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

In college, all males should go to class, study enough to get As and Bs, and chase girls. These dorks wearing the masks should try getting laid.
I heard someone say, “these are the smart kids”. I laughed my ass you off. That has not been the case for years. This is what happens when you let in low performers for whatever reason.

4/30/2024 10:59:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Chicago didn’t report either.

4/30/2024 11:43:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Actually, reported crime is down.
Many don't even bother reporting it.

4/30/2024 11:59:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous Anonymous said...
MSM and FBI coverup. Defund THE FBI. MSM already being refunded. Lol

4/30/2024 04:09:00 AM


Let’s not forget NPR being defunded too. We are paying a government news organization to spout the leftist mantra with our tax dollars. I wonder how much of our tax dollars in aid to Ukraine actually gets funneled back to the democrats to prop up the dying dinosaur media?
This shit is coming down to the wire, the left is going to go all out in their plan to enslave us all. Stay safe.

4/30/2024 03:54:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Support John Lott. He is only academic doing research to counter the lying anti-gun propaganda spewing out of every other university and organization.

https://crimeresearch.org/

4/30/2024 04:02:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Actually, reported crime is down.
Many don't even bother reporting it.

4/30/2024 11:59:00 AM


I know I don't.

I leave that to heyjackass.



Chalkie

4/30/2024 05:26:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have several of Dr. Lott's books. Love them.
The thing I admire most about him is his intellectual honesty.
On a scale of 1-10, he started out as a 4 - sorta neutral but didn't particularly like guns.
Then, he did his research. He did it with an open mind and used data from a wide variety of sources not just cherry-picked ones that suited his taste.
As such, his work is recognized as the gold standard of research and his conclusions are effectively unassailable.

If even 1% of researchers had his ethics, climate change and the 114 geners games would be dead and buried.

5/01/2024 02:06:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Crime went down when you had 100+ stinking,filthy illegals with covid,measles in district lobbies. I’ll pass on reporting the theft ,strong armed robbery.

5/02/2024 09:43:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Terrifying....... and somehow the media just continues to chug along with the agenda

5/03/2024 10:25:00 AM  

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