Friday, July 03, 2026

Holiday Weekend!

We may or may not be traveling, so updates might be sporadic.

The heat is sticking around for a little while, but there's a good chance of rain in the forecasts every day. Some people are off Friday and others are extending their weekend to take in Monday. 

Therefore, we're going to set the Holiday Weekend Casualty Prediction Model as follows:

  • 1700 hours Friday until 0500 hours Monday

A full 60 hours. And we'll make a wild stab at the numbers:

  • 8 dead, 20 wounded

As a tie-breaker, we'll predict 2 "mass" shootings (four casualties regardless of ending body temperature). 

As a further tie-breaker, we're going to predict a single firework death involving some sort of mortar round. If anyone knows how to track missing fingers, toes and eyeballs, let us know - we can't seem to find a HeyJackass.com category for those.

Make your guesses, place your bets, and stay safe. 

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88 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

The trend is in full swing and crime is about to be fully out of control. A lot of things are coming together on favoring the criminals.

7/03/2026 12:24:00 AM  
Blogger Lutz The Reporter said...

Brandon’s bragging “crime is down”. Is it because potential victims are staying II side or out of sight? A lot of heat out there and machine gunning a victim at 400 N LaSalle inviting retaliation? I’m setting my over/under of holiday shootings at an even 60.

7/03/2026 12:26:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

7 dead, 24 wounded.

7/03/2026 12:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Area5 prt in absolute panic mode. Most arrests I have seen in a while from them. False plate police is back and giving a warm welcome for Ricky. Hope yall won't get dumped like the mechanic and the bald twins

7/03/2026 02:24:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Can we out the idiots who on department emails from the Superintendent or exempts who respond with the heart emoji etc. Idiots !

7/03/2026 02:52:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You're on the low side for Chicago. 12 dead, 34 wounded.

7/03/2026 04:21:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

7-25

7/03/2026 04:23:00 AM  
Blogger LakeCountyres said...

5 and 42

7/03/2026 06:32:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

6 - 31. I mass shooting at a large west side out of control street party...seems like thats the usual story every summer holiday.

7/03/2026 06:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

My prediction is 9 & 45

7/03/2026 07:09:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Your prediction sounds good considering we are expecting several rain delays. If you're humping a beat car be safe and watch each other's six.

7/03/2026 07:31:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I always get my family out of Chicago during 4th and go to Michigan. Too much of a chance for a disaster to occur in Chicago. Why take a chance with family.

7/03/2026 07:42:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

There must be some type of quantitative measurment. Temp+Dew Point+Thug= ....or Temp+Sandwich Shoppe+MAGA country+bad actor=
New math or same-o, same-oh my my!
Chicago running out of people to kill.
There's so much away from Illinois. So much. Your retirees say it all!

7/03/2026 07:58:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Here's hoping for BIG numbers killed not wounded this weekend and all demoCRAPS

7/03/2026 08:00:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don't forget terrorist attacks on the usual soft targets. DC in particular, along with Chicago, NYC and LA. Hope it doesn't happen but the stars seem to be aligned.

7/03/2026 08:00:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I’m going with 14/35.

7/03/2026 08:04:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Come on, 8 and 20? If we try real hard, we can do better.

7/03/2026 08:14:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

" ...Let the games begin..", Nero. as he watched Rome burn.

7/03/2026 08:14:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

To those too young to remember 1976, remember 2026. Fifty years from now
you will be saying WTF happened

7/03/2026 08:23:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

6 and 32. Hospitals on full staff for those ventilated by gunshot or mutilated by fireworks stupidity. What will be, will be. Stay hidden, ride slow to the carnage, full lights and siren, and a safe return home to YOUR family.

7/03/2026 08:24:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

14 and 63 - too many picnics, parades, block parties, and teen riots. Majority of people don’t know how to act right.

7/03/2026 08:29:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

With the cost of living in Chicago very high, I can see things going very bad. How many robberies go wrong and the victims get murdered. Crazy!

7/03/2026 08:34:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

11 dead , 23 wounded , 3 mass shootings , no deaths from fireworks . how many deaths will be prevented by our state of the art shot spotter technology?
Federal Law enforcement task force in Chicago,Illinois have made 599 arrests for murder,armed robbery, drugs,child trafficking and rescued 24 children from being sex workers. Yet Gov.JB Pigster, Mayor BJ conehead say crime down and refuse to cooperate with federal law enforcement.

7/03/2026 08:35:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

My crystal ball says 2 dead 10 shot …. slow weekend since the city will be in mourning from Larry’s retirement news.. Boom shakalaka!

7/03/2026 08:35:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don’t see much foot traffic in certain neighborhoods after the sun goes down.

7/03/2026 08:36:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

4 MASS shootings on July 4 weekend. Stay Safe boys and girls.

7/03/2026 08:51:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It all depends on the weather and for now, it looks like no rain tomorrow night.
Be safe CPD.

7/03/2026 09:12:00 AM  
Blogger Mr. SouthSide said...

Keep the line moving!

7/03/2026 09:18:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

10 and 25. 1 boat on the breakwall.

7/03/2026 09:23:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Going big 12 and 32

7/03/2026 09:25:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

12 and 42
Wright it down

7/03/2026 09:54:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

8 Dead 38 Wounded

7/03/2026 10:33:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

OT: Retired guy here. Just spoke with a guy who is detailed tomorrow to the Obama Center. Apparently the CPD has to guard that monstrosity! He said they were told that the police cannot enter the facility to use the bathroom during their tour-of-duty. Told to go down the block to the YMCA. Can anyone else confirm this?

7/03/2026 11:02:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

But have we tried dispersals in 011 yet?

7/03/2026 11:19:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

4 killed, 26 shot says former 006 warrior

7/03/2026 11:30:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Chicago's Murder Machine is in full throttle this holiday weekend. Rain may be the damper on some of the numbers. However, the killing fields are opened for business, and business is good in Murder City. As Brandum celebrates the DSA movement this Fourth of July, his constituents will lay curbside, bleeding out and paying the price that Democrats demand and expect from the Community. Democrats rule the city and the Community will pay the price. Now go curbside and die.

7/03/2026 11:34:00 AM  
Blogger Madmanicus said...

6 and 33. 3 mortar severe injury 1 fatal. 4 mass shootings . Happy 4th and Happy 250th to the ol USA 🇺🇸! God bless America!

7/03/2026 11:49:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

8 too high. America 250 deserves 0

7/03/2026 11:58:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Here, Brandon Johnson's "Transfemicide State Of Emergency" -

Nevada transgender suspect with massive weapons cache accused of Las Vegas terrorism-related threats
Police say they thwarted what could have been a devastating mass casualty attack after arresting a transgender Nevada suspect accused of plotting a shooting on the Las Vegas Strip and uncovering an arsenal that included machine guns, grenade launchers and more than 50 firearms.

Allison Howlett, 36, was found at Sunset Station casino sitting on a handgun with a silenced MP5 machine gun within reach

Authorities say detectives recovered 22 guns from the stolen vehicle, including handguns, rifles, a fully automatic firearm, suppressors, high-capacity magazines and hundreds of rounds of ammunition.

A subsequent search warrant executed at Howlett's Henderson residence uncovered 30 additional guns, including automatic weapons, AN M2 .50-CALIBER MACHINE GUN, two Colt AR-style rifles equipped with M203 grenade launchers, seven suppressors and thousands of rounds of ammunition, investigators said.

https://www.foxnews.com/us/nevada-transgender-suspect-massive-weapons-cache-accused-las-vegas-terrorism-related-threats

Who was bankrolling this expensive hobby? Seems like someone is turning the wind-up key on a a succession of these "Manchurian Candidates" and pointing them out the door.

"It walks! It talks! It wiggles its ears!"

RUN!

"Right-wing influencer Charlie Kirk was answering a question about transgender mass shooters at a university forum when he was fatally shot."

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/charlie-kirk-was-answering-question-about-trans-mass-shooters-when-shot-rang-out/ar-AA1MiG2x

7/03/2026 12:10:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Stationary Patrol

7/03/2026 12:37:00 PM  
Blogger Dad29 said...

Umnnhhh....AMBIENT temps will be upper 90's. How can one tell the quick from the dead with that condition?

7/03/2026 12:57:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

6 dead - 15 wounded

7/03/2026 01:01:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

“ KASH PATEL
FBI announces 305 arrests, 24 missing children recovered in Chicago during Operation New Dawn
Eleven federal agencies including the FBI, DEA and ATF united under President Trump's crackdown on violent crime”
By Robert McGreevy Fox News
Published July 3, 2026 1:59pm EDT
Foxnews.com

And Gov Porky Pritzker said we don’t need any help from President Trump!

7/03/2026 01:23:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Don’t be scared click on the icons and it says

7/03/2026 01:37:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Confirmed
Now enjoy retirement and don’t worry about anything

7/03/2026 01:40:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

How come our allegations are made public and an elected official are not!

Gov. JB Pritzker on Thursday said state Rep. Harry Benton needs to take “very seriously” both the investigation into his conduct and Illinois House Speaker Emanuel “Chris” Welch’s call for Benton to resign, especially given how rare such a declaration is.

And Pritzker said that while he has not seen the investigative report that prompted Welch to say Benton, a Democrat from Plainfield, must resign or face possible expulsion from the House, the governor would not say whether he thinks the report should be made public.

7/03/2026 02:13:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I do the same send them up to Wisconsin sturgeon bay. Much safer for them.

7/03/2026 02:40:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Chicago is too dangerous for terrorist.

7/03/2026 02:42:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey retired guy stay on topic.

7/03/2026 02:42:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Calling BS on this from the old retired guy.

7/03/2026 02:43:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

yeah, rite it down

7/03/2026 03:03:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

11 dead 28 wounded. And three multiple victims (Mass) shot. OT SCC...The feds are in town and just found 24 children that were missing in one operation. They made many arrests related to trafficking. Why isnt the Chicago media all over this? Maybe BJ the Clown doesnt care about children? Have a Happy Fourth everyone! Dont pay anya tttention to the left and their sad attitudes. It just makes me laugh. What a great time to be an American!

7/03/2026 03:13:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

ok,,,how many people will be killed and how many folks will be killed ? Huh?

7/03/2026 03:54:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

17 dead. 42 wounded. 3 in the junk!

7/03/2026 03:57:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

BLM to democrats mean dropping a Democratic ballot, filling out ballots for the memory care unit residents. Deaths by drug overdoses,homicide ,the Democrats don't care. hey , how about a free cell phone or cable service.

7/03/2026 04:33:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

has obama center been opened for a cooling center for chicago residents or a new hot spot for teen gatherings.

7/03/2026 04:35:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Leaks Funreral home says....
Gold teeth bucket looks good...
Check out the newest gig....Casket wraps...Go in style !

7/03/2026 04:41:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

No matter the count...it's not enough to notice.

7/03/2026 04:42:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Cause they are ..."Your Betters"
Next question.

7/03/2026 04:44:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If it's a true Obama center, just piss on the side of the building....Hood Style. .Word

7/03/2026 04:46:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Everyones too low. 16 shot and killed 38 shot and wounded.

(Entered at 16:50 on Friday 3rd)



7/03/2026 04:50:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You are traveling again,back to Dupage County to buy hot dogs and burgers because you won’t buy anything in Chicago ,right?But you have a $100000 Pension by working in Chicago,right??

7/03/2026 04:57:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ortega will be the LT from 014, hopefully will bring some new good sgts

7/03/2026 05:20:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

A5 PRT!!!

7/03/2026 07:31:00 PM  
Blogger Greg G said...

Unfortunately they are breeding and reproducing faster than they are killing each other!.

7/03/2026 10:06:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What's your point clown? If someone serves the City of Chicago, they paid into their earned pension which was part of the employment deal promised when they took the job. A job you wouldn't be able to handle. They can shop wherever the hell they want commie.

7/03/2026 10:06:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And?

7/03/2026 10:34:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Sounds just like a few 9th district teams. Arresting people with lice and fake plates just to save their “spots” disgusting.

7/03/2026 11:58:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I remember1976 as a time of great hope and pride. Been very bummed lately by the total 180 from the joy of 1976. Hoping maybe some of the young ones will wake up and realize how much they have to lose by hating on this miraculous land. America is and always will be worth fighting for and loving unabashedly. God bless our troops and first responders.

7/04/2026 12:22:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Usually I'd agree, maybe even a bit low. But if the rains keep sweeping through, the bad guys won't go out for fear of soiling their shoes. Besides, heavy storms will keep the number of potential robbery victims down as they stay home.

7/04/2026 12:27:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Surely you jest. Plenty of M/1 offenders for Area Four homicides have been located and arrested in Sturgeon Bay, Superior WI, new Buffalo, Des Moines, etc. I grabbed a couple out there in the hinterland. You and yours are safer in Addison, St. Charles, McHenry et al.

7/04/2026 05:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I’m saying that now. My dad was saying it back then and still lays all the blame on the Beatles…

7/04/2026 05:55:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Check your crystal ball for cracks.

7/04/2026 05:56:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Uh, seven years into retirement at only 72 1/2% is only $103,540 plus $29,680 from SSA (thanks Uncle Joe!). Add to that the wife’s zillions and, yes, every dime is spent outside of Chicago! Freedom is a wonderful thing!

7/04/2026 06:09:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

One good thing about Chicago shootings...most being shot and killed are DEMORATS!!!!

7/04/2026 06:16:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'll shop wherever I choose. This is the USA. Freedom!

7/04/2026 07:35:00 AM  
Blogger Greg G said...

Gov. FatAss just issued Executive order that ALL liquor stores in Chicago must lower the temp of all Malt Liquor sold must be no warmer than 37 degrees until Monday!

7/04/2026 07:41:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Moved to one of the leafy Western 'burbs after retirement and now don't deal with the Beast. And no, I don't have any Hate has no Home Here or BLM signs.

7/04/2026 08:01:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not the Mechanic, LoL. He thinks is the best thing on the Dept. Stroke..

7/04/2026 08:54:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What happened to the mechanic's "boy toy" the Secretary... LMAO

7/04/2026 09:05:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ok loser, Sturgeon Bay has about 2 violent crimes a year…its crime rate is .90 percent the national average

7/04/2026 09:49:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

NO he did not.

7/04/2026 11:12:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

two mass shootings so far that I know off.

7/04/2026 01:19:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

you already lost the pool

7/04/2026 01:23:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

how many of the homicide ,drug overdose victims and those that died of natural causes in the last 12 years are still voting and collecting welfare benefits ? where is DOGE? Notice all the newly opened Autistic ,Learning Centers in Illinois?

7/04/2026 01:28:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

My guess 22 shot - 10 doa.

7/04/2026 04:30:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You said Ortega was gonna be the A/5 Lt last year too. The guy is lazy and dumb. If you don think that RR knows that more than anyone else you're a fool.

7/06/2026 10:25:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Final Demonized Tally: 6 killed, 20 wounded

7/07/2026 02:37:00 PM  

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