Monday, May 02, 2016

A "Decrease" in the Increase

  • There was one more murder in Chicago in April than the same month last year.

    Sunday, the Chicago Police Department released the overall crime statistics for April 2016. Overall for the month, there were 36 murders, 253 shootings and 311 shooting victims.

    That’s a 3 percent increase in murders from April 2015.   The police department says the homicide rate is in a downward trend for the year, with an increase of 75 percent in January, 126 percent in February and 29 percent in March.
So, for the learning impaired (yes media, we're looking at you):
  • Apr 2016 +3%
  • Mar 2016 +29%
  • Feb 2016 +126%
  • Jan 2016 +75%
So the rate is still going up, but since it's going up "slower," that's a win? In what world? And what happens when it finally warms up in May?

And the media just publishes this without questions like, "What's the yearly increase in homicides?" or "What's the total increase in homicides?" or "What is the mayor doing to stop all this bloodshed?"

Nope, they just move on to the "feel good" stats in the next paragraphs:
  • CPD reports an increase in police activity compared to this time last year, including an increase of murder arrests by nearly 10%, an increase of gun recoveries by 30%, and an increase of investigative stops by roughly 10% compared to the month of March.

    Officers have taken more than 2,800 guns off the streets since the start of this year.
That's it. Nothing for comparison. Murder arrests are up 10%! Well golly, the clearance rate for all of last year was something like 26%. With more murders this year, if CPD kept the same clearance rate, then there's your 10% increase, but the needle hasn't budged from the "3-out-of-4 murders walk" statistic.

More smoke, more mirrors.

Note: The Sun Times has a much better breakdown than WGN did. They must have hired someone with a calculator.

Labels: ,

63 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Vri going back to 400 po's per day starting in June. Unlimited days too until the little darlings go back to school
I'm September. Get that $$$ while you can

5/02/2016 12:10:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Saw this on the news tonight. I just laughed. Everything is bullshit 24/7 in this town.

5/02/2016 12:43:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Who is out there still bringing in guns??? One word...MORONS!!! I mean seriously? What the fuck is the matter with you??? What part of "stay fetal" don't you understand?? That is EXACTLY why we will never win against Rahm, the City, the politicians, the reveruns, or the silent FOP...there are enough bone heads willing to buck the trend that benefits the many in order to secure their tact spot and benefit themselves. The powers that be know that and therefore will always win. Thank you MORONS for putting yourselves above the collective good. Morons.

5/02/2016 01:42:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

No, Sun Times might have hired someone that is not a product of Chicago Schools.

5/02/2016 02:23:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

How many of the 2,800 guns were turn ins?

5/02/2016 02:32:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Weasel Words.
Slippery Syntax.
Finely Minced Word Salad.

Terms and definitions
that never mean the same thing from day to day.

Numerical Bullshit.
Statistical Fuckery.

First pages of the Troskyite playbook.

5/02/2016 02:35:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Off topic.

Remember the animals that attacked the student on the Blue Line?

Illinois legislators introduced a bill to allow CCW legally on the Metra.
Call your house and senate reps to support the bill.

5/02/2016 02:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Maybe Black Lives Mattered More in April than in February?

5/02/2016 02:55:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And they have started doing the mass gun turn ins again. I wonder how many of those 'recovered guns' came in from the turn ins at Sabinas and other locations????

5/02/2016 05:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The media should be asking in regards to the gun recoveries, how many are with an arrest followed by a conviction? How many are from turn-ins, like grandpa passing away and the kids getting rid of the weapons etc,. Spin, Spin, Spin,.

5/02/2016 06:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

In June there will be an increase in the decreased increase

5/02/2016 07:24:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The terminology used on the first newscast on abc7 Sunday morning was "Just one more murder this April" than last year. Someone must have realized how bad that sounded and there after they said there was a 3% increase this April.

5/02/2016 07:25:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This math seems geared to the current CPS students.

5/02/2016 07:39:00 AM  
Blogger The Keesing Bandit said...

Someone out there likes the word "MORON. Maybe the MORON who brought in a gun might have brought in one that could have been used on a cop.

Right, MORON?

5/02/2016 07:43:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just watched WGN news and they showed the offending vehicle in the fatal "hit & run" that occurred at Archer and Lavergne. The red Jeep was found at 59th and Narraganset. They zoomed in on the FOP active member decal on the windshield. We can only hope that it wasn't a cop driving...I'm hoping someone sold their jeep and just didn't remove the decal. :-(

5/02/2016 07:50:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What was May 2015 total? Let go Chicago, nice all week.

5/02/2016 08:31:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The guns are NON functioning turn ins!

The sheeple of the world actually believe these news rags.

The best thing you can do is teach your kids who to analyze bullshit in the media.

5/02/2016 08:43:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous Anonymous said...
Who is out there still bringing in guns??? One word...MORONS!!! I mean seriously? What the fuck is the matter with you??? What part of "stay fetal" don't you understand?? That is EXACTLY why we will never win against Rahm, the City, the politicians, the reveruns, or the silent FOP...there are enough bone heads willing to buck the trend that benefits the many in order to secure their tact spot and benefit themselves. The powers that be know that and therefore will always win. Thank you MORONS for putting yourselves above the collective good. Morons.

5/02/2016 01:42:00 AM

Easy there ace. You got so upset, you forgot about the evil mother fuckers you work for. They can spin and create any number they want and are desperate to do so now. Any copper on the street in this city knows the truth and can "feel" the increase in lawlessness picking up steam. Their numbers mean dick. But you fell for it and so will the media and the sheep. Now, go get me a radio "officer".

5/02/2016 09:05:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

They get that from Washington. If they have been taking 10% more of your paycheck every year and for one year they "only" take 8% they call that a "budget cut".

So in their twisted world this is a reduction in the rate of increase in crime, so therefore; "Crime Drops".

5/02/2016 09:08:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Only reason that these lies continue is that somebody actually believes them. You are either part of the solution, or worse, part of the problem.
You decide Chicago...

5/02/2016 09:26:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

SCC,

Part of the problem with percentages is that the % numbers can be misleading. For instance, if 100 people were shot in April 2015 and 120 were shot in April of 2016, do you say April 2016 numbers were up 20%? Or do you say April 2016's shootings were 120% of last year's?

Using your numbers from above the monthly numbers become:

April 2016 = 103%
March 2016 = 129%
Feb 2016 = 226%
Jan 2016 = 175%

To my eye, this conveys better the message that every month this year exceeded the same month last year with February more than doubling last year's number.

5/02/2016 09:34:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Numbers are down because the hoodlums got bad ammo that the PoPo shit canned...

5/02/2016 09:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hmmm you dont think Rahm would include all the junk guns and toys that Father Phuckstick brought in from his "buy back" are included in those gun numbers do you ?


5/02/2016 09:52:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The old decrease in the increase.
Rahm wants a positive spin on this.

5/02/2016 11:15:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Vri going back to 400 po's per day starting in June. Unlimited days too until the little darlings go back to school
I'm September. Get that $$$ while you can

5/02/2016 12:10:00 AM

400? VRI for summer usually was 216-218. Do you mean VRI + VRE?

5/02/2016 12:29:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Twain said it best-

"There are 3 kinds of lies: lies, damn lies and statistics"

5/02/2016 12:49:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

lol...the decrease in the increase of morale!!!!

5/02/2016 03:13:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

There has been a decrease in the rate of increase! Happy days are here again.

5/02/2016 03:32:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

OT But what the hell was with the idiots working the traffic controls after St Jude? WHY was the Northbound entrance to LSD blocked off? WHY was EVERYONE being routed to the South when half of the cars would be heading North again and could have aleviated the clusterfuk congestion that ensued? It was so bad that it further screwed up the traffic heading Southbound into the area that were NOT for St Judes. Morons.

5/02/2016 04:02:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Rahm must've ordered the media to "spin, spin, spin"

5/02/2016 04:31:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I saw Chalkie this weekend.
He was working out and eating his Wheaties...... said he's preparing for the spring weather.

5/02/2016 04:33:00 PM  
Blogger Sir Donkey, esq said...

Always doom and gloom...ya'll never look at the positive.
There is a decrease in the incarceration rate of black and brown people, and a decrease in the over-policing of black and brown neighborhoods.
See, CPD can follow orders.

5/02/2016 05:39:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

OT: Sneed is reporting that Rahm is going to hire Andre Zopp as a Deputy Mayor To oversee major city projects. How stupid is he to bring the fox into the henhouse. She will be able to gather all the dirt and then use it against him when she runs for mayor in 2019. That guy is just plain stupid!!

5/02/2016 06:10:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Blogger The Keesing Bandit said...
Someone out there likes the word "MORON. Maybe the MORON who brought in a gun might have brought in one that could have been used on a cop.

Right, MORON?



5/02/2016 07:43:00 AM

Bandit,
I've never seen you so firm and strong, so assertive and commanding in your presence. After many times of reading your poetic words I am just now beginning to understand what it is to catch the vapors. I would love a new place to enjoy all these wine spritzers I have laying around.

5/02/2016 06:21:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is really off topic, but we're stumped. Are there any old 21st Dist. Guys who remember the name of the original owner of Ribs & Bibs on 53rd St. He also did TV commercials for Bert Weinman Ford on Channel 9 in the 50's thru 70's?

5/02/2016 06:41:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

More lies from the Communist regime. Obama's "Comrades".

5/02/2016 07:49:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The new LIEtenant in 009 got into an accident with her squad somewher on 90/94 today.

I'm sure it was non-preventable and she won't have to attend driving school!

Hold on, anyone have the answers for driving school just incase?

5/02/2016 07:52:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Every time today I heard the same biased media propaganda about how shootings have gone down I laughed and said - You slime balls will eat your words once the weather heats up.

5/02/2016 08:21:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Look over here not there
No new taxes , garbage collection fees
He just barely beat Jesus "Chuy" Garcia

5/02/2016 08:41:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Off topic did IAD agents Bartz and his sidekick Brown put in there papers to retire today, instead of being striped, for the cover-up??

5/02/2016 09:07:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous Anonymous said...
This is really off topic, but we're stumped. Are there any old 21st Dist. Guys who remember the name of the original owner of Ribs & Bibs on 53rd St. He also did TV commercials for Bert Weinman Ford on Channel 9 in the 50's thru 70's?

5/02/2016 06:41:00 PM

"Lynn Burton for Certain". Something like that.

5/02/2016 09:28:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous said...
The media should be asking in regards to the gun recoveries, how many are with an arrest followed by a conviction? How many are from turn-ins, like grandpa passing away and the kids getting rid of the weapons etc,. Spin, Spin, Spin,.

5/02/2016 06:48:00 AM

Grandpa wouldn't have owned any of this sh*t.They are handing out a C note for any rusted, broken "I guess at one time it was a gun"turd that is brought in. They know good people are turning in junk and using the money for youth summer shooting camps and all kinds of other good things and upgrades. It's no secret, the media has done stories, the pro 2-A groups discuss it on the net and every junk box in every gun shop north of Kentucky is empty. They don't care,they need to talk numbers and show tables loaded with evil guns including Capones' Colt from the whore house raid in 1927 and tell you they were all recovered last night."You can fool some of the people all of the time" and that's enough on election day.

5/02/2016 10:10:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous Anonymous said...
OT: Sneed is reporting that Rahm is going to hire Andre Zopp as a Deputy Mayor To oversee major city projects. How stupid is he to bring the fox into the henhouse. She will be able to gather all the dirt and then use it against him when she runs for mayor in 2019. That guy is just plain stupid!!

5/02/2016 06:10:00 PM

More pandering to the "community" from Rahm.
Andrea Zopp is a racist.

5/02/2016 10:11:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is really off topic, but we're stumped. Are there any old 21st Dist. Guys who remember the name of the original owner of Ribs & Bibs on 53rd St. He also did TV commercials for Bert Weinman Ford on Channel 9 in the 50's thru 70's?

5/02/2016 06:41:00 PM


The original owner, who also did the commercials for Bert Weinman, was Linn Burton, also known as "Linn Burton for Certain."

5/02/2016 10:18:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey SCC, you NEVER post any of my comments. Why don't I get to vent? Have I been blacklisted? If so, what for?

5/02/2016 10:30:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"But actually, Winston thought as he re-adjusted the Ministry of Plenty’s figures, it was not even forgery. It was merely the substitution of one piece of nonsense for another. Most of the statistics that you were dealing with had no connexion with anything in the real world, not even the kind of connexion that is contained in a direct lie." - From Ch. 4, 1984 by G. Orwell

5/02/2016 10:31:00 PM  
Anonymous Gran Torino said...

Kind of feel the communist theory in practice here under Rham, as many different ways to cook the crime stats are put into play. It would seem like liberals are the new age marxists. They refuse to even acknowlege or accept the high stats on violence.

5/02/2016 10:36:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And it's old murders being cleared, the cold case guys and CCX cases.

5/02/2016 10:40:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

To IAD Bartz and Brown , God is watching!!! Vengeance is mine sayeth the Lord!!

5/02/2016 10:51:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

http://cltv.com/2016/05/02/suburban-mother-returning-from-dells-wounded-in-shooting-on-wisconsin-highway/ I know a lot of people take their families to the dells, always carry, and always be careful

5/02/2016 11:16:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The Only reason that these lies continue is that somebody actually believes them. You are either part of the solution, or worse, part of the problem.
You decide Chicago...

Couldn't have said it better so I just copied and pasted. Thank you.

5/03/2016 12:13:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous Anonymous said...


OT: Sneed is reporting that Rahm is going to hire Andre Zopp as a Deputy Mayor To oversee major city projects. How stupid is he to bring the fox into the henhouse. She will be able to gather all the dirt and then use it against him when she runs for mayor in 2019. That guy is just plain stupid!!

5/02/2016 06:10:00 PM

OR, Rahm has just named his successor for when he leaves to become ambassador to Cuba.

5/03/2016 01:09:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you are not increasing the percentage of time that you are staying in the fetal position while decreasing the amount of time you have left till retirement, then you are doing it all wrong.

5/03/2016 01:17:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"....and an increase of investigative stops by ***roughly*** 10% compared to the month of March."

In 2015, let's say... we did 100 stops; in 2016, we are down 90%, to- 10 stops. So, a 10% increase between March and April is only ONE extra street stop, between last year and now OR 1% difference between 2015 and 2016.

READ: the Dept is still down 90% and there is NO CHANGE in street stops BUT a 10% increase sounds good

5/03/2016 01:21:00 AM  
Anonymous Paul Kersey said...

Everything is bullshit 24/7 in this town.
----------------------------------------------------
A great statement that should put onto the next statue or monument they put into Millennium Park.

5/03/2016 03:29:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"" Anonymous said...

Who is out there still bringing in guns??? One word...MORONS!!! I mean seriously? What the fuck is the matter with you??? What part of "stay fetal" don't you understand?? That is EXACTLY why we will never win against Rahm, the City, the politicians, the reveruns, or the silent FOP...there are enough bone heads willing to buck the trend that benefits the many in order to secure their tact spot and benefit themselves. The powers that be know that and therefore will always win. Thank you MORONS for putting yourselves above the collective good. Morons.""

Dont be a dick. You still have to do your job. WTF are you going to do when you catch a banger with a gun? Let him walk with it? Thats why I never liked this "stay fetal" shit. Do the job but do it on the legit. Its the same outcome as staying fetal because if we cant stop these creeps just for walking around carrying "criminal billboards" then we'll never make a dent anyways.

But only an asshole would suggest letting a dangerous offender walk or not taking action when its appropriate.

5/03/2016 07:22:00 AM  
Blogger SCC said...

Anonymous said...

Hey SCC, you NEVER post any of my comments. Why don't I get to vent? Have I been blacklisted? If so, what for?


-=-=-=-=-=-=

There's one.

Other than that, you're probably doing something wrong.

Read the rules on the right-hand side, figure it out, change it, and we're sure it'll get posted

5/03/2016 07:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Double Talking Democrat Communists

5/03/2016 11:23:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just wait till the first 75 degree day you idiots!

5/03/2016 01:44:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

All of this violence and housing prices still increasing? I have to say I'm shocked that people would want to move here. Why is it that a bulk of city employees would gladly move out of the city but somehow outsiders find Chicago attractive? What's the draw? Highest taxes, garbage collection fees, uncontrollable violent crime, corruption, ridiculous debt, homeless camps everywhere without people getting assistance, and whatever else I missed?

5/03/2016 02:09:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Year to date, month to month, day to day, hour to hour area to area, district to district, sector to sector, beat to beat......they will make the comparison however they can to make it sound good. Bottom line is a Shitload of people are getting shot and killed in Chi-Raq and no matter how they spin it something needs to be done. They have tried throwing $100 million at the problem, even tried $120 million and that didn't work. De-centralize response units, add to area teams, 10 hr days, forced day off cancelled (VRE), and none of it works.
So what are the answers??? Ask Gene Williams, he has ALL the answers apparently.

5/03/2016 03:40:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

CPD must be using common core math to smooth out the rough edges.

5/03/2016 06:31:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Predictably, there is a big increase in the increase.

5/03/2016 10:02:00 PM  

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