Look! Less Killings!
- In a year in which the rise in homicides has brought unwelcome national attention to Chicago, police on Thursday announced one encouraging statistic: October saw its second-lowest number of killings in at least 30 years.
The month ended with 36 homicides, down eight from October 2011 and the second-lowest the department has recorded since 1982. The city had 34 homicides in October 2004.
Shootings also fell in last month to 208, down from 231 in October 2011, the department said.
Still, through the first 10 months of 2012, homicides have risen by a little over 22 percent over a year earlier, putting Chicago on pace to potentially record 500 homicides for the first time since 2008. Through October, there have been 442 homicides, compared with 361 during the same period last year.
So we're still up 80 homicides.....stop paying attention to that.
The grasping at small trends is a hallmark of CompStat is the obvious lesson here. Talk up the supposed drop in burglaries one month. Talk about less CTA robberies by downgrading everything to a Theft. A one-month aberration in homicide numbers and all our strategies are working.
posted by SCC at 12:01 AM
41 Comments:
Ten hours into the month of Nov. and we already have homicide #443
With sixty-one days to go AND all the holidays -- hitting 500 for the year? I'll take the over.
With all the practice the ER's keep getting practice makes perfect. But the Top Cop wants all the credit for himself.
That damn beginning of the year...
How they can stand up there and say crime is down when you are +80 for the year with two months left is beyond comprehension. What's the old saying??? The bigger the lie, the more people will believe it.
Yep, the strategies worked out o.k., except for the 436 homicide victims.
I suppose their deaths, like the 4 dead Americans killed in the terrorist attack on our Embassy, these are just " bumps in the road ", you know, " not optimal "
Quotes by BHO
no one was shot and killed in the last 10 seconds.
someone was shot and killed in the 10 seconds previous to the last 10 seconds.
a 100% drop in someone getting shot and killed.
promote me.
Chalkie
One of the rainiest and coldest Octobers in recent memory. You owe me one Supt!!
Well, there's 8 more eggs we can count. They haven't hatched, fuck it.
Wow how dumb! That's like a gambler being down $50,000 all year, but for the month of October he's up $1,000 and runs around telling everyone he had a good month. The stat clowns at 35th street find a tiny golden nugget and parade it around like it's a brick of gold when in reality it's nothing to brag about.
On the channel 7 news the other night, they had the commander of 003 interviewed. He couldn't even speak correctly. A speech test on the correct pronunciation of the English language should be a requirement for advancement. My whole family is laughing at me because they see what kind of nincompoops we have as leaders.
Chalkie's saving his strength for 06 November......
I'll take 514.
Why do these morons insist on compiling statistics that mean NOTHING. They waste more time pointing to useless numbers than anything else. Spin, spin, spin.
How about taking that energy and putting into good, old fashioned POLICE WORK. Or have you appointed too many incompetent political hacks to be able to do that?
WOW
Anonymous said...
On the channel 7 news the other night, they had the commander of 003 interviewed. He couldn't even speak correctly. A speech test on the correct pronunciation of the English language should be a requirement for advancement. My whole family is laughing at me because they see what kind of nincompoops we have as leaders.
*********
The supt better rethink his comments about having enough officers if he plans on doing fixed posts on every block that has a shooting!
Wow! "October saw its second-lowest number of killings in at least 30 years."
We may have to start calling him...McLaxative.
He can really make shit happen.
Looks like you guys buy into the "official" CPD homicide numbers and you guys should know better. After all it was from SCC where I learned how the city keeps the shooting and homicide statistics artificially down. For crying out loud, you guys sound like the Chicago media, regurgitating the CPD numbers without question. The true homicde number stands at more then 465 with October having 40 not 36.
On the channel 7 news the other night, they had the commander of 003 interviewed. He couldn't even speak correctly. A speech test on the correct pronunciation of the English language should be a requirement for advancement. My whole family is laughing at me because they see what kind of nincompoops we have as leaders.
11/02/2012 04:09:00 AM
The commander of 003 is not only brighter than you he has done more police work than you, so you need to ask around before you make inaccurate remarks about one specific leader but this shows what type of person he has to lead you are the nincompoop!!
"My whole family is laughing at me because they see what kind of nincompoops we have as leaders."
<><><><><><><><><><>
No, your whole family is laughing at you because you're 35 years old and your post was submitted from your cramped bedroom in your parents' basement. At 4:09 AM.
If it wasn't so funny they'd probably be crying.
Great, now that crime is down give me my fuckin time due!!!! Can't even buy plane tix to leave town because these fucks won't approve it until the last minute. This department suxxxxx!!!!! Hey, if manpower is such an issue then that means I should stay available for jobs and never get distracted with tstops, sstops, etc. right??
It's the same old compstat bull. Spin the the bad news by playing up the convoluted drop in other crimes that do not directly affect the violent death toll that is plaguing this city.
How this mayor and superintendent can continually evade the obvious lack of ethical behavior in allowing the deaths to continue unabated by hiding behind contrived ComStat numbers is beyond reason.
Can someone explain how they are serving the citizens of this city?
The superintendent can be excused. He was appointed but the mayor! How can the mayor sleep at night knowing that the slaughter continues.
There is no reason for Chicago to be the murder capital of this great nation.
Take the politics out of the CPD!
Tommy Skilling said...
One of the rainiest and coldest Octobers in recent memory. You owe me one Supt!!
11/02/2012 01:16:00 AM
Global warmin...cool....warm..uhhhh..errrr...unpredictable climate change? That's it...due to not paying carbon credits the weather will now be unpredictable, sometimes hotter than normal, sometimes much colder. There will be natural disasters. It's Bush's fault you know!
agree with 1:16, credit for this goes to skilling, it was a generally miserable month for weather.
does anyone believe the horse shit their shoveling? theres many dumb folks in the city, but even they know rahm is lying. they are still waiting for more police protection. but he has his own protection and some of the other pols have theirs. In the meantime teens are shot and killed, flaeger jackson, and the media are silent.
"The grasping at small trends is a hallmark of CompStat..."
...as they also say of the drowning man "grasping at straws."
"Desperate" is the word we're looking for. "Frantic" is also good.
The city claims that 36 homicides in October is a the second lowest in how many years? It shows crime strategies are working.
According to their own web site:
2011= 47 2006= 38
2010= 35 2005= 37
2009= 38 2004= 35
2008= 46
2007= 37
36 homicides is pretty much average for the month. The two years when it went way up, unusually warm temps.
To quote the weather almanac "2nd week of October there was a warm spell, temps were 20 degrees above normal". One day temps hit 84 degrees.
Come on media, it wasn't hard to find this data. Its all on the CPD web site
mcnutty isnt fit to be even a tma..
When the "gloves were off" at the end of the eighties and early nineties, we had 1000 or so homicides. Most who are killed are a bonus to society.
POs job has been and always will be to try to prevent crime. If crime can't be prevented, which is usually the case, document it.
When crimes happen the dicks respond and try to solve it and present serious crimes for approval and prosecution.
CCSA plays devils advocate and pre tries cases in stations and decides which to put forward.
Judges and juries decide outcome. Punishment is handed out to the guilty.
This is the circle of life in the criminal justice field. We win some, we lose some. Unfortunately we seem to lose far more than we win these days.
The officer's job hasn't changed in a hundred years. Read the stories in the star case; you'll get the picture. The SUperintendant comes and goes. Stategies change and the wheel is always reinvented.
The Beat goes on. Be safe.
when will this nightmare mcnutty leave?
garry is a moron,its show you how powerful the media is.
rham is a midget prick..and a pension killer.
no pension for you enjoy maggie daley park sucker.you probably be living there one day.
West Side, Inside Do-Nothing said...
"My whole family is laughing at me because they see what kind of nincompoops we have as leaders."
<><><><><><><><><><>
No, your whole family is laughing at you because you're 35 years old and your post was submitted from your cramped bedroom in your parents' basement. At 4:09 AM.
If it wasn't so funny they'd probably be crying.
----------------
I accidentally clicked on WS Inside-Do-Nothing's name and his profile popped up. This explains a lot:
About me
Occupation Armed Babysitter
Introduction I'll let you in on a little secret...I actually push a beat car. District and watch to remain a secret.
Interests Deception, Misinformation, Aggravating the unintelligent, Ruffling the feathers of Hair Gels.
Favorite Movies Saving Private Ryan, The Big Lebowski, Kingpin to name the first three that come to mind.
Favorite Music Too much to list, spanning the gamut of pretty much every conceivable genre.
Favorite Books I don't read books.
What the fuck happened to this job?
Tommy Skilling said...
One of the rainiest and coldest Octobers in recent memory. You owe me one Supt!!
11/02/2012 01:16:00 AM
Actually, it was only one degree cooler than the monthly average, and the rain amount was 3.15 inches, which is the October average.
A weather nerd
everytime mcdickhead opens his mouth its a lie..
Who cares?
Nothing to see here....drive on.
Tribune today: 7 shootings in 3 hours leave 2 dead, 5 wounded
Can the Supt hold a press conference and talk about how his initiatives are working in November? He just did one claiming huge victory in October....
The rate of decrease is on the increase. You just gotta know how to graph the best data.
Hey, what happened to all the police officers that were at Clark/lake, state/lake, grand/state, Clinton, lasalle,grand/Milwaukee, that I used to see at the el station, made me feel much safer.
everythings down in 7 thanks to leo and mcmush gods gift to the police dept..not that they deploy most their resources there and half the citizen have move out with their section 8 vouchers.
garry is as soft as baby shit..
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