Sunday, July 02, 2017

Crime is Down!

  • Shootings are down by 14 percent this year compared to the first six months of 2016, according to Chicago Police statistics.

    As of Friday night, 1,752 people had been shot in the city during the first half of this year, leaving 309 dead, according to data maintained by the Chicago Sun-Times.

    In a statement issued early Saturday, the police department touted June as the fourth straight month with a reduction in shootings compared to the same time last year. It ended with 396 people shot, 74 fatally, Sun-Times data shows.
Notice what the Slum Times is doing? They keep saying the word "shootings" and building off of that:
  • 396 shot, 74 dead in June
  • 1752 shot, 309 dead in 2017
So why does HeyJackass.com have these numbers?
  • 399 shot, 83 dead in June
  • 1779 shot, 339 dead in 2017
Because HeyJackass is counting all homicides - stranglings, beatings, burnings, vehicular homicides, etc. So all of those numbers are suspect if they're only using gun related homicides.

And why is Navarro only going back to 2016? Because Chicago is still above the historical lows of the earlier part of this decade. It was only a few years ago that Chicago recorded under 500 killings. Part of that was the McCarthy "re-classification" bullshit, but the other part was....there were actually less killings.

This is (yet again) why we concentrate on the long term trends - because the short term trends are going to make you look like an idiot:
  • June 2016 - 373 shot, 76 dead (by all methods)
  • June 2017 - 399 shot, 83 dead (by all methods)
Oops, that looks like crime is up.

This is exactly why the Department claims one month, "Crime is down over the same period as last year" for a particular weekend, then switch to "It's lower than 2016" while ignoring the double digit increases compared to 2013, 2014 and 2015. Every year can't have a warm January that accounts for 57 homicides like 2016 did.

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27 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Navarro said crime is down, but "we are not taking a victory lap."

Total bullshit.



7/02/2017 12:14:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dead is dead,shot is shot. Who cares its the same nonsense every month by the PD. Its not a contest you goofs. Up down even there are still jagoffs running around shooting people. Start giving the arrest totals every month. Whats the clearance rate. Lets hear those totals. You won't because its embarrassing.So stfu. The bosses can't help themselves. They don't even realize how stupid they sound. I love all the head nodding at the press conferences, like way to go we look great Not. Bring the next puppet in,Barb West to lead the pack. If you think Special Ed was off the wall,wait.

7/02/2017 12:20:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

And I have some prime ocean front property in Arizona for sale, if anyone is interested.

7/02/2017 12:23:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

OT Will be in Chicago tomorrow for a parade my grand daughter is in. My Indiana concealed carry permit is apparently worthless. I understand there are knife laws particular to Chicago, anyone help with the details?

6/30/2017 12:10:00 PM

Well? How did it go? Hopefully, you were lucky and had a nice day all-round? Or, did any of our misguided urchins and/or adult miscreants have an impact on your excursion to Crimecago?

7/02/2017 12:24:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Is everone or anyone enjoying Rahm's killing fields?
Chicago's new motto should be, May the hearse be with you.
Put that on the new city stickers.

7/02/2017 12:28:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What this city needs is a proven leader who can think on his feet and reclassify homicides into death investigations. If only the twerp murder mayor could convene a blue ribbon committee to select such a candidate...

7/02/2017 12:31:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

So the question that all of this raises is: Why? In the past the Media has relied on the HeyJackass stats as and for Homicides. The Media has less credibility when it pulls this game on the public. Did City Hall personally approach the Sun-Times and ask them to tone it down? To simply list Shooting Deaths, and ignore all the other types of mayhem that cause homicides is to misrepresent the truth! The other night one citizen used his vehicle to kill another human being. Are we to believe that the victim in this incident is less dead than someone shot to death? And this incident clearly was with intent, since it followed an argument between the two, making this case a homicide that was also a Murder. All Murders are Homicides, but not all Homicides are Murders. The Sun-Times is playing word games, and diminishing their own credibility. And that is why you will see newspapers seldom read by fewer and fewer people under the age of 60. Is this shaving of the facts supposed to be the elevated art of professional journalism? Lies, Lies and more lies from the Media. Baby "G"

7/02/2017 12:32:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

They are using the same idea with their statistics that companies used with saying this person save us from not losing even more money than we could have lost

7/02/2017 01:03:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I never thought that I would say 2013 and 2014 were the good years. Never.

7/02/2017 01:24:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm still wondering if any of those "death investigations" from 2016 have been reclassified as homicides yet?

7/02/2017 02:39:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If you really want to see a reduction in numbers, count only the shootings/killings that happen during daylight hours! You know, when the murders are probably sleeping and the people working to support them are up.

J.J.

7/02/2017 07:30:00 AM  
Anonymous Slipping Jimmy said...

What's the deal with the "bump and run" car thefts?

It sounds like a nice way to say car jacking.

7/02/2017 07:53:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nevarro and Cesario share the same calculator

7/02/2017 08:14:00 AM  
Blogger B said...

Killings are down because medical science has improved. Hospital Emergency Rooms are better at keeping people alive.

(Generally at great taxpayer expense)

7/02/2017 08:39:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Figures lie.
Liars figure.
Rham _____.

7/02/2017 08:56:00 AM  
Blogger Cuthbert J. Twillie said...

It's *true*. Crime is down.

Crime is down on 2nd Wednesday's of the month between 11:35am and 11:45am and there's Thunderstorms or a Blizzard.

Other than that.....

7/02/2017 09:00:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...


The CPD exempts hitched their "Crime Is Down" wagon
to the aberration (2016) among outliers... (2012 - 2015)

Right?

When 2017 DOES finally exceed 2016,
whither thus?

They'll be shaking crap down their pant leg
at the end-of-the-year press conference as
they proclaim 2017 to be yet another in a series
of outliers...

7/02/2017 09:02:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Special Ed: “Over the first six months of 2017 we have implemented a smart policing strategy that is showing early signs of progress.”
Oh my gosh...2-3 less than last year - wow, some reduction and progress.
Then...
"CPD First Deputy Supt. Kevin Navarro detailed the drop in shootings late Saturday morning in Greektown, near where, just hours earlier, officers arrested a man who pulled a gun during an argument with others. “It underscores the broken culture where individuals solve petty disputes and disagreements with gun violence,” Navarro said.

K-Navvo just repeated the same Special Ed press pep talk from last week.
Two stool pigeons - one stool.

And the Mayor...he's already to take credit for ATF.
And also ready to blame The President when it does nothing to slow the violence, as PrickCanker, KimFxx & DilDart release criminals faster than they come in.

7/02/2017 11:31:00 AM  
Anonymous Hot Pursuit said...

More smoke and mirrors....I still like Dinsey's special effects better.....keep trying.

7/02/2017 11:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Going by per capita number of shootings, Chicago is quite safe.

7/02/2017 01:26:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

They should just give the number of people who weren't shot in the city it would make it sound so much better. Today over 2,000,000 people didn't get shot in the city. See how much nicer that sound.

7/02/2017 03:57:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The first step in getting help is recognizing and admitting that there's a problem.
Rahm and FatHeadEd are in denial.

7/02/2017 04:19:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

But not here in Chicago

7/02/2017 04:24:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Is there any truth to the rumor Rahm was pushing for republicrat Maggie hickey to be us attorney and now he's pissed and will try to block the appointment? Hickey refuses to investigate corruption of the republicrat crowd connected with the outfit and Chicago dems. She's as bad as Ferguson.

7/02/2017 05:09:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Figures never lie but Liars figure. Anything to make the mayor look good no matter how many Lies it takes.

7/03/2017 05:48:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nevarro and Cesario share the same calculator

7/02/2017 08:14:00 AM
Sorry, Navarro is just dumb, Cesario is a box of rocks. A box of rocks has no value at all. Is he still twiddling his thumbs down at the 911 center?

7/03/2017 12:19:00 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I can remember a very smart soul saying numbers can say anything you want if you torture them long enough. Can't remember where I heard that.

7/03/2017 08:15:00 PM  

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